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SVB SVB Financial Group

Bank collapse 2023-03-10
Peak Score
53.2
control ceiling: 44.0

Phrase Escalation Score Over Time

Score (left axis) · Stock price at filing date (right axis)

Filing Pair Breakdown

Click any row to expand signals and anomalous sentences.

2020-02 → 2021-03 Pre-event @ $487.20 9 signals
RF: 13327→16741w (+25.6%)
42.8
↑ liquidity risk (11.16) ↑ held-to-maturity (8.96) ↑ default (6.53) ★ write-down (4.25) ★ restructuring (4.0) ★ acceleration (2.65) ★ investigation (2.45) ↑ material adverse effect (0.59) ↑ material adverse (0.57)
★ = first appearance  ·  ↑ = increased  ·  contribution score in parentheses
Most Anomalous Sentences semantic score: 3.26
"We require sufficient liquidity to meet our expected financial obligations, as well as unexpected requirements stemming from client activity and market changes, such as the unexpected cash outflows that occurred at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic when certain clients increased utilization of their credit lines."
distress relevance: 0.70 market specificity: 0.37 score: 0.391 risk_factors
anchor: we may not have sufficient liquidity to meet our obligations
"Our interest rate spread has declined, and may continue to decline in the future."
distress relevance: 0.59 market specificity: 0.44 score: 0.362 risk_factors
anchor: our deposits have declined significantly
"The extent to which any unrealized gains or losses will become realized is subject to a variety of factors, including, among other things, the expiration of certain sales restrictions to which these equity securities may be subject to (e.g."
distress relevance: 0.64 market specificity: 0.37 score: 0.357 mda
anchor: significant unrealized losses that would be realized if we sold securities
"Additionally, the public equity investment expected gains and losses, and the extent to which such gains (or losses) will become realized is subject to a variety of factors, including among other factors, changes in prevailing market prices and the timing of any sales of securities, which are subject to our securities sales and governance process as well as certain sales restrictions (e.g."
distress relevance: 0.62 market specificity: 0.38 score: 0.353 mda
anchor: significant unrealized losses that would be realized if we sold securities
"As a result, even if a loan is secured, we may not be able to fully recover the amounts owed to us, if at all."
distress relevance: 0.58 market specificity: 0.42 score: 0.342 risk_factors
anchor: we may be unable to refinance our existing debt
2021-03 → 2022-03 Pre-event @ $585.00 3 signals
RF: 16741→17851w (6.6%)
12.3
★ dissolution (5.98) ★ unrealized losses (3.98) ↑ default (0.82)
★ = first appearance  ·  ↑ = increased  ·  contribution score in parentheses
Most Anomalous Sentences semantic score: 3.08
"If our management is unable to effectively manage our growth, our expenses may increase more than expected, and our revenues may not increase or may grow more slowly than expected In particular, we have experienced significant deposit inflows."
distress relevance: 0.71 market specificity: 0.35 score: 0.389 risk_factors
anchor: significant deposit outflows
"We require sufficient liquidity to meet our expected financial obligations, as well as unexpected requirements stemming from client activity and market changes, such as the unexpected cash outflows that occurred at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic when certain clients increased utilization of their credit lines."
distress relevance: 0.70 market specificity: 0.32 score: 0.368 risk_factors
anchor: we may not have sufficient liquidity to meet our obligations
"Additionally, the public equity investment expected gains and losses, and the extent to which such gains (or losses) will become realized is subject to a variety of factors, including among other factors, changes in prevailing market prices and the timing of any sales of securities, which are subject to our securities sales and governance process as well as certain sales restrictions (e.g."
distress relevance: 0.62 market specificity: 0.39 score: 0.359 mda
anchor: significant unrealized losses that would be realized if we sold securities
"CRE loans may lack standardized terms and may include a significant principal balance or “balloon” payment due on maturity."
distress relevance: 0.52 market specificity: 0.53 score: 0.346 risk_factors
anchor: maturity of debt obligations may require significant cash
"The extent to which any unrealized gains or losses will become realized is subject to a variety of factors, including, among other things, the expiration of certain sales restrictions to which these equity securities may be subject to (e.g."
distress relevance: 0.64 market specificity: 0.35 score: 0.346 mda
anchor: significant unrealized losses that would be realized if we sold securities
2022-03 → 2023-02 Pre-event @ $267.83 7 signals
RF: 17851→18463w (3.4%)
53.2
★ cash burn (31.09) ↑ unrealized losses (11.6) ↑ liquidity risk (3.53) ★ investigation (2.46) ↑ interest rate risk (2.14) ↑ material adverse effect (0.47) ↑ material adverse (0.37)
★ = first appearance  ·  ↑ = increased  ·  contribution score in parentheses
Most Anomalous Sentences semantic score: 3.09
"Our deposit growth has slowed in the latter half of 2022 from the rapid growth seen in the 18 months prior, and a reduced level of deposits may affect our liquidity."
distress relevance: 0.67 market specificity: 0.46 score: 0.412 risk_factors
anchor: our deposits have declined significantly
"If we again experience deposit growth at a similar or greater rate than has occurred in the past, we may need to raise additional equity to support our capital ratios."
distress relevance: 0.63 market specificity: 0.43 score: 0.377 risk_factors
anchor: we may need to raise additional capital to fund operations
"Additionally, the public equity investment expected gains and losses, and the extent to which such gains (or losses) will become realized is subject to a variety of factors, including among other factors, changes in prevailing market prices and the timing of any sales of securities, which are subject to our securities sales and governance process as well as certain sales restrictions (e.g., lock-u"
distress relevance: 0.62 market specificity: 0.42 score: 0.369 mda
anchor: significant unrealized losses that would be realized if we sold securities
"The extent to which any unrealized gains or losses will become realized is subject to a variety of factors, including, among other things, the expiration of certain sales restrictions to which these equity securities may be subject to (e.g., lock-up agreements), changes in prevailing market prices, market conditions, the actual sales or distributions of securities, and the timing of such actual sa"
distress relevance: 0.57 market specificity: 0.46 score: 0.354 mda
anchor: significant unrealized losses that would be realized if we sold securities
"CRE loans may lack standardized terms and may include a significant principal balance or “balloon” payment due on maturity."
distress relevance: 0.52 market specificity: 0.53 score: 0.346 risk_factors
anchor: maturity of debt obligations may require significant cash